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    February 14th, 2018

    Today's market Commentary

    MBS prices were lower this afternoon as the selling tied to inflation fears continued and stocks shot higher. The DOW closed up 253 points.

    Mortgage bond prices were lower this morning in response to mixed data. Higher inflation readings so far have trumped the weak sales data. Inflation erodes the value of fixed income investments such as mortgage backed securities which causes prices to fall and rates to increase.

    Consumer prices rose 0.5% versus the expected 0.4% increase. The core, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.3% versus the expected 0.2% increase.

    Retail sales disappointed. Sales fell 0.3% versus and expected 0.2% increase. This helped counter some of the initial selling pressure following the higher inflation readings.

    We have a heavy day Thursday with weekly jobs data, PPI, industrial production, capacity use, Philly Fed, and NAHB Housing data.

    Event Calendar:
    Wednesday, Feb 14, 2018
    Consumer Price Index @ 8:30 am ET

    Wednesday, Feb 14, 2018
    Retail Sales @ 8:30 am ET

    Thursday, Feb 15, 2018
    Producer Price Index @ 8:30 am ET

    Thursday, Feb 15, 2018
    Weekly jobless claims @ 8:30 am ET

    Thursday, Feb 15, 2018
    Industrial Production @ 9:15 am ET

    Thursday, Feb 15, 2018
    Capacity Utilization @ 9:15 am ET

    Thursday, Feb 15, 2018
    Philadelphia Fed Survey @ 10 am ET

    Thursday, Feb 15, 2018
    NAHB Housing Index @ 10 am et

    Friday, Feb 16, 2018
    Housing starts @ 8:30 am ET

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